I have a strong relationship with Gmail.
I use it for all my personal emails. I used it for all my CMU email, and I would use it for work if they let me. I keep names, records, and use it as extended memory. I've got no idea when I last emailed my mom, what my girlfriend's email address actually is, my boss's email, or when I last saw the doctor.
Its all there, archived where I can find it.
I use it for all my personal emails. I used it for all my CMU email, and I would use it for work if they let me. I keep names, records, and use it as extended memory. I've got no idea when I last emailed my mom, what my girlfriend's email address actually is, my boss's email, or when I last saw the doctor.
Its all there, archived where I can find it.
Suffice it to say, I don't want to run out of space.
To find out if I will, I gathered some data. The information I have is:
1) I started this gmail account on March 14, 20052) I've used a total of 1.182 gigabytes
3) the current space allowed is 7.292 gigabytes.
3) Gmail was started on April 1, 2004 with exactly 1 gigabyte.
4) Today is February 5, 2009.
From here, its easy enough to give some derived values. The average amount of space I use is 830 kilobytes per day. The space allocated increases by 3.5 megabytes a day.
Both of these numbers are huge, and Adventures With Large Numbers will be another post.
Its important to remember this these are just a simple average. If I actually kept a record, I'd see irregularities and discontinuities. Memory tells me they doubled the space on April 1, 2005. But, that's not the data I've got, and I know better than to trust my memory. I don't have the daily sizes, so I cannot easily use that for analysis. Nor do I need it for a ball-park estimate.
So long as the amount raised is greater than my daily use value, I shouldn't run out of space. As it turns out, the the amount they raise my storage allowance by is four times the amount I use, I think I'm in the clear.
If I was using closer to half the average daily increase, I'd want to find the daily values and make better predictions about April First. I might even set up both as exponential relationships.
If my Daily Use Value was higher than the Average Daily Add, I'd make a prediction on when I'd run out of space. Given the current values of each, it would be easy enough to make that prediction.
Even if was using half a megabyte more than I am getting, my gmail wouldn't fill until 2042. This would require using roughly five times the space I currently am. And, in 2042, when it was finally full, I'd have 50 gigabytes of space.
All in all, if the future is sufficiently similar to the past, I won't run out of space.
If my Daily Use Value was higher than the Average Daily Add, I'd make a prediction on when I'd run out of space. Given the current values of each, it would be easy enough to make that prediction.
Even if was using half a megabyte more than I am getting, my gmail wouldn't fill until 2042. This would require using roughly five times the space I currently am. And, in 2042, when it was finally full, I'd have 50 gigabytes of space.
All in all, if the future is sufficiently similar to the past, I won't run out of space.
No comments:
Post a Comment